We all remember the infamous tech boom and then bust of the late 1990s. As long as a stock had an “e” pre-fix and a “.com” suffix, it was considered a triple-A rated investment by financial advisers — something you couldn’t afford not to bet your IRA and your kids’ college education fund on. Then came the revelation that — whoops! — a lot of these stocks represented companies in website-name only, not actual revenue-producing businesses, and down went the market… and a lot of portfolios with it.
Despite the losses, this cycle of investing in companies whose value was a matter of pure speculation and hype nonetheless pressed on, subsequently creating the Enron debacle and, later, the Wall Street collapse. Only at that point, after more than a decade of financial rape and speculative pillaging, did we finally seem ready to reject an economy built on Bubblenomics. As bailouts drained the treasury, our righteous anger could have been summed up by that famous Bushism: “Fool me once, shame on you, fool me [twice]… can’t get fooled again.”
And yet, somehow, here we are again, watching the speculative class now using the hype around social media technology to try to reinflate the ol’ dot-com bubble that started the whole debacle. To know it’s a bubble is to look at the difference between what speculators are doing and what advertisers are saying.
On the speculative side, the Bubble Reinflation Project has most recently focused on the initial public offerings of LinkedIn, a weak version of Facebook, and Groupon, a website that offers daily consumer discounts. According to Reuters, the former has only about 1,300 employees and generates only about $2 in revenue for every user it claims, but after its stock’s first week of public trading, the company’s “market value per employee was almost $7 million and about $87 per user.” The latter, set for an obscene $30 billion initial valuation, has revenue growth of 2,241 percent last year (only its second year in existence) but “its operating expenses ballooned even faster at 5,732 perecent,” reports the Wall Street Journal.
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